Genghis Capital Project Bull Run on Nairobi Securities Exchange in 2020

Nairobi Securities Market’s Momentum Still Negative, Its 3rd Week

Image I Courtesy NSE

Investment bank, Genghis Capital predicts a bull run at the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) in 2020 on attractive valuations for some of the counters.

In their new report,‘Harnessing Value‘, the NSE will offer investment opportunities for the year presenting an opportunity to investors to continue diversifying their portfolios and post positive returns, in a year that is expected to post mixed economic results.

Kenya is currently trading at discounted multiples compared to its historical average despite last year’s market rally. The rally bolstered by Safaricom’s good results and an improved financial sector counter propped the Nairobi All Share Index (NASI) by 18.5 percent to 166.41 points.

“It is on this backdrop that Genghis expects profit-taking on most of the counters that rallied last year to depress the equities market in the early part of the year before a general uptick in the market from the second part of the year,’’ the report observes.

“The NSE abounds with value opportunities, including some large-cap foreign investor favorites that continue trading at discounted prices.  We see value in EABL and KenGen on the non-financials front and KCB Bank on the financial side” the report says further.

Genghis Equities Model Portfolio 1Q20


In the playbook 2020, the research team at Genghis Capital has revealed its new look model equity portfolio, which features momentum stocks, income stocks, and value stocks. In 2019, the three portfolios outperformed the market with returns of 39.2 percent, 38.4 percent and 10.3 percent from the respective portfolios. This was against the market returns of -6.3 percent on NSE-20 and 18.5 percent from the NASI.

“This year, we have recalibrated the portfolios; with investors who are looking to take advantage of momentum swings being advised to consider Safaricom, EABL, KCB Bank and Equity Bank.

Those looking for value stocks are advised to purchase EABL, KenGen and Kenya Re. 

Further, if one is looking for income, KCB Bank, Stanchart, Barclays Bank and COOP Bank and KenGen are their best bets,” the report states.