Kenya’s currency Wednesday exchanged at 111.7735  against the dollar, owing to the high demand for import payments.

COMMERCIAL BANKS’ AVERAGE EXCHANGE RATES FOR
MAJOR CURRENCIES/KES (CLOSING OF MARKET) ON
10-Nov-21
CURRENCY MEAN BUY SELL
US DOLLAR 111.7735 111.6735 111.8735
STG POUND 151.1271 150.9747 151.2794
EURO 129.2012 129.0706 129.3318
SA RAND 7.2530 7.2394 7.2666
KES / USHS 31.5818 31.5088 31.6548
KES / TSHS 20.5863 20.5232 20.6495
KES / RWF 9.1201 9.1064 9.1338
KES / BIF 17.8064 17.7035 17.9093
AE DIRHAM 30.4315 30.4014 30.4617
CAN $ 89.3616 89.2674 76.8302 89.4559
S FRANC 121.6649 121.5296 121.8002
JPY (100) 98.0685 97.9592 98.1777
SW KRONER 12.8344 12.8207 12.8481
NOR KRONER 12.9199 12.9058 12.9340
DAN KRONER 17.2518 17.2362 17.2674
IND RUPEE 1.5004 1.4990 1.5019
HONGKONG DOLLAR 14.3463 14.3335 14.3591
SINGAPORE DOLLAR 82.5049 82.4159 82.5940
SAUDI RIYAL 29.8023 29.7748 29.8298
CHINESE YUAN 17.4499 17.4329 17.4669
AUSTRALIAN $ 81.6729 81.5887 81.7572

During the week ending 5 Nov, the Kenyan shilling depreciated by 0.3% against the US dollar to close the week at Kshs 111.5, from Kshs 111.2 recorded the previous week.

In October, the shilling ended the month 0.8% weaker against the US dollar, this was linked to obstinate dollar demand as dollar liquidity thinned.

Market Analysts are of the view that the shilling could remain on the back foot, potentially breaking above the 112 level in November. 

“Current account pressure will persist as import levels rise. Export earnings will recover further but may not match the growth in demand. Healthy FX reserve position will continue to provide cushion but deployment may be limit by the persistent uncertainty,” Stephanie Kimani, Analysts from NCBA said.

The shilling is however expected to be supported by: the Forex reserves, currently at USD 9.1 bn (equivalent to 5.5-months of import cover), which is above the statutory requirement of maintaining at least 4.0-months of import cover, and the EAC region’s convergence criteria of 4.5-months of import cover.

In addition to improving diaspora remittances which have increased 18.8% y/y increase to USD 309.8 million in September 2021, from USD 260.7 million recorded over the same period in 2020, which has continued to cushion the shilling against further depreciation.

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